Mangrove vegetation structure dynamics and regeneration 

 

Thesis Philosophiae Doctor Scientiarum

 

Farid Dahdouh-GuebaS


 

General Discussion

 

Published as :

Dahdouh-Guebas, F. & N. Koedam, 2002.  A synthesis of existent and potential mangrove vegetation structure dynamics from Kenyan, Sri Lankan and Mauritanian case-studies. Meded. Zitt. K. Acad. overzeese Wet./Bull. Séanc. Acad. r. Sci. Outre-Mer 48(4): 487-511.

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Research frameworks for studies on vegetation structure dynamics   

 

It is known that, because of direct factors such as exploitation and clear cutting (Kairo, 1995) and because of indirect factors such as siltation and groundwater fluxes (Tack & Polk, 1999), mangrove forests are adversely affected both quantitatively and qualitatively all around the globe (e.g. Pernetta, 1993a,b,c,d,e; Rützler & Feller, 1996).  Research groups are trying to quantify this decline from different angles using remote sensing.  However, it is equally important to link this analysis to fieldwork that monitors the qualitative changes as well.  The latter aims for example at the selective unsustainable utilization or exploitation of certain mangrove tree species or at the patterns of succession, both of which can lead to a change in floristic composition or vegetation structure.  Research on changes in mangrove forests and on the regeneration potential, including solutions to keep the latter at a level allowing forest rejuvenation must necessarily be considered.

 

Only recently the importance of mangroves has been acknowledged and efforts to restore them arose.  Understanding mangrove vegetation structure dynamics in a particular area is a prerequisite to conservation and management directives, such as the establishment, protection and management of re-afforestation plots in the framework of regeneration projects (e.g. Lee, 1996; Caloz & Collet, 1997).  Dahdouh-Guebas et al. (2000a) emphasize that there is a need for a methodology that allows to express reliable predictions about the state of mangroves using a relatively small input from vegetation field work, and to decide whether a mangrove stand at a certain location has the potential to successfully renew and rejuvenate or whether anthropogenic pressure renders human interference such as restoration imperative.  A monitoring system is needed to decide whether human interference is desirable, since artificial restoration may be appreciated less than natural regeneration.  Field (1998b) stated that ‘natural regeneration of mangroves should be the first choice of any rehabilitation programme, unless there is irrefutable evidence that it will be unsuccessful’.  A clear understanding of the nature and dynamics of local mangrove ecosystems will be the best guide to any restoration programme (Field, 1996).  The first step is to collect information about the actual state of the mangrove forest, emphasizing different vegetation layers, but also about past changes in that particular vegetation.  Where such studies concentrate on the diversity of mangroves it is important to assess on the appropriate spatial, taxonomic and temporal scale (Farnsworth, 1998).  The second step is to integrate such findings in the management and decision-making process.

 

It has been shown that remote sensing and GIS-based forestry studies can generate results that can be directly used in forest management planning (e.g. Holmgren et al., 1997; Holmgren & Turesson, 1998).  Applicable findings (when focusing on vegetation layers of different age) can for instance include the prediction of future changes in the mangrove forests.  In addition, combination of these data with local and global ecosystem data (biological, hydrological, physico-chemical, geographical,…), socio-geographical or –economic data, particularly in a GIS environment, allows to assess future changes under different scenarios (e.g. exploitation, conversion, natural catastrophes or sea level rise) and to adopt conservation strategies by interfering appropriately, if at all.

 

 

What encompasses 'dynamics' in the literature ?

 

A verification of the term 'dynamics' in recent literature on marine science or forestry, relevant to the study of general mangrove ecology, reveals that this term is being used in an environmental, a faunal or a floral context.  In an environmental context it has been used to refer to nutrient dynamics (Rice & Tenore, 1981; Newell, 1984; Blair, 1988; Tam et al., 1990; Chen & Twilley, 1999), DOC dynamics (Velimirov, 1986), sediment or detritus dynamics (Brakel, 1984; Flores-Verdugo et al.,1987) and hydrodynamics (Wolanski, 1992; Kitheka et al., 1995; Kitheka, 1997).  In a faunal context 'dynamics' has referred to behavioural clustering dynamics (Gherardi & Vannini, 1992), community dynamics (Syms & Jones, 2000) and spatial and temporal dynamics (Lugomela, 1995).  In a vegetation context 'spatial and temporal dynamics' has been used as well (Smith & Huston, 1989; Murali et al., 1998), next to litter dynamics (Brown, 1984; Twilley et al., 1997), biomass dynamics (de Boer, 2000), canopy  dynamics (Herwitz et al., 1998) and population dynamics (Fromard et al., 1998; Jiménez & Sauter, 1991; Clarke, 1995).

 

 In a number of cases terms as 'mangrove forest dynamics' (Smith et al., 1991), 'vegetation dynamics' (Heil & Van Deursen, 1996; Dahdouh-Guebas et al., 2000a) or simply 'dynamics' (Putz & Chan, 1986) have been used, all of these intending more or less 'changes in stand structure and composition'.  It is in the latter context that the present paper is written, more precisely : ‘changes in stand extent, structure and composition’.  Although to scientists who are focusing on vegetation it is evident that these simple terms have the above meaning, to others these terms might seem less meaningful.  Therefore we suggest to adopt the term 'vegetation structure dynamics' for 'changes in stand structure and composition', both spatial and temporal.

 

 

Data acquisition and analysis in studies on vegetation structure dynamics

 

Remote sensing

 

In the past two decades remote sensing technology has been given a leading role in the acquisition of data on vegetation (e.g. Gang & Agatsiva, 1992; Cohen et al., 1996; Ramachandran et al., 1998; Dahdouh-Guebas et al., 1999, 2000a, 2000c) and both 'reviews' and 'recent advances' are continuously reported in order to emphasize and compare the potential of various remote sensing technologies in the past and for the future (e.g. Rehder & Patterson, 1986; Tassan, 1987; Aschbacher et al., 1995; Blasco et al., 1998; Holmgren & Turesson, 1998; Hyyppä et al., 2000). 

 

The integration of data on vegetation structure dynamics from different moments in time has become almost entirely dependent on remote sensing (e.g. Heil & Van Deursen, 1996; Murali et al., 1998; Dahdouh-Guebas et al., 2000a), which usually constitutes the only retrospective basis of comparison to actual vegetation data (Dahdouh-Guebas et al., 2000a).  Assessment of factors related to the mangrove on a large scale (global or regional distribution, cartographic inventories, land-use conversion, conservation) and investigation of the regional or global extent of mangroves (e.g. Spalding et al., 1997), largely rely on satellite imagery.  For periods of time starting before the existence of space-borne sensors, aerial photography will often provide the essential and the only data on changes in vegetation.  Whereas aerial photography, in addition, has been of an unequalled quality in the study of vegetation structure dynamics until present, the launch of Ikonos, the first commercial Very High Resolution (VHR) Earth Observation satellite in September 1999 by Space Imaging (US), probably marks the beginning of a new remote sensing era providing both panchromatic and multi-spectral images with a 1 m to 4 m resolution.  This type of resolution combined with the multi-spectral character of the imagery (incl. near-infra-red) may provide alternatives to the as yet unsolutioned inability of identification of mangroves on a species level (Verheyden et al., subm.; Dahdouh-Guebas et al., in prep.a).

 

However, for the present research only aerial photographs were available and their applicability to the investigation of mangrove vegetation and the study of mangrove vegetation structure dynamics was positively evaluated (loc. cit.).  However, a providing correct mangrove tree species list is essential (Jayatissa et al., subm.) and eventually fieldwork must be carried out.

 

 

Ground-truthing

 

Fieldwork or ground truthing, which remains imperative in remote sensing studies, has concentrated on the adult vegetation in many case-studies (Spalding et al., 1997), but great benefit arises when combining these data with other vegetation layers (Murali et al., 1998; Dahdouh-Guebas et al., 2000a, subm.a).  Next to overlays between map data originating from different moments in time in a GIS-environment (Geographical Information System) and a quantification of changes that occurred in the past (e.g. Verheyden, 1997), an overlay of a map with data from present-day vegetation layers (e.g. as plots or transects) may provide insight into the present and possibly future dynamics of the mangrove (Dahdouh-Guebas, et al., 2000a, subm.a).

 

If the vegetation layers with adult, young and juvenile trees are considered there can be either an absence or a presence for each of these.  Table 1 summarises the possible combinations of vegetation layers and defines the type of vegetation structure dynamics that can form the basis for such combinations.

 

A forest, or a species within a forest, without adult individuals has a pioneering or colonising nature (colonisation dynamic type, hereafter referred to as C-type or displaying C-dynamics).  Examples of species with a colonising nature are Avicennia and Sonneratia.  A less obvious example, but encountered on beaches away from mangroves in both Kenya and Sri Lanka, is Bruguiera gymnorrhiza (pers. obs.).  From the case-study of Galle (Dahdouh-Guebas et al., 2000a) it is clear that in Sector 3 Rhizophora apiculata must have had a colonising nature in the past.

 

A forest with a presence of adult trees and an absence of either young or juvenile ones is declining (degradation dynamic type or D-type / D-dynamics).  It is remarkable that this can be illustrated with the very same Sector 3 of Galle at present, since no young or juvenile trees were found during the recent fieldwork missions (loc. cit.).  Another example to illustrate a D-type is the condition of the Parc National du Banc d’Arguin in Mauritania, where adult Avicennia germinans trees usually do not show young or juvenile trees in their understory (Dahdouh-Guebas & Koedam, in press).  A forest with adult trees and without either young or juvenile ones may be threatened with decline as well, unless there is a transient lack of younger specimens or an accelerated growth.  The latter can be very acute in forest areas where Rhizophora mucronata dominates the canopy, Ceriops tagal dominates the young understory and a mix of both species is dominating the juvenile understory.  When canopy gap formation occurs due to the logging of R. mucronata, which is a highly preferred species by the local population in Mida Creek (Dahdouh-Guebas et al., 2000b), C. tagal is actually the species that pre-empts the gap in the canopy (Kairo et al., in prep.).  What is preferred is logged, but what is logged is therefore not necessarily what will regenerate.

 

A forest with adult, young and juvenile trees is generally rejuvenating (rejuvenation dynamic type or J-type / J-dynamics).  However, it may also be declining depending on the similarity in distribution of adult, young and juvenile trees.  Whereas the term ‘decline’, as used above, refers to a decline of age structure on a particular place and will be referred to as ‘vertical decline’, this term can also be used with respect to the area coverage of a forest or species, hereafter called ‘horizontal decline’.  If this horizontal decline is purely surface bound we refer to ‘quantitative horizontal decline’, which is not considered at this stage.  When all vegetation layers are represented in the field we will obviously also refer to J-dynamics, but if there are significant shifts in species composition from ‘mangrove species’ towards ‘non-mangrove species’ we will refer to ‘qualitative horizontal decline’.  This should be taken sensu lato and applies in case of both shifts from strict or major mangrove components towards the minor mangrove components and shifts from mangroves species in general towards mangrove associates or non-mangrove species.

 

Table 2 is showing how the data from the past on the spatially static or dynamic nature of a forest can be combined with distribution data from the present from all vegetation layers in order to evaluate the status of the mangrove as being spatially static (i.e. without spatial changes over time) or spatially dynamic (i.e. with spatial changes over time).  It must be highlighted however that a spatially static forest does not imply a static nature of all processes.  As a matter of fact there is a steady-state condition underlying the spatially static or spatially dynamic nature of a forest.  A spatially static forest such as Sector 1 in the mangrove of Galle (Dahdouh-Guebas et al., 2000a) supports rejuvenation and other processes in its understory.

A spatially static forest with a similar distribution of adult, young and juvenile trees, for instance, is obviously rejuvenating : the younger trees develop close to the adult ones but the vegetation patches themselves do not displace.  In case of a strong dissimilarity between the above distributions the spatially static forest might be declining and possibly requiring human interference, whereas in case of a spatially dynamic forest dissimilar distributions might be perfectly normal (Tab. 2).

 

This type of analysis, the results of which can be shown using a clear and highly qualitative graphical design, can be supported by a parallel statistical analysis that is based on the same type of data and generates more quantitative and testable results (Figs 1 and 2).  Detrended correspondence analysis (DCA), canonical correspondence analysis (CCA) and non-linear multi-dimensional scaling (NMDS) are particularly adapted tools for this type of research, which in addition also allow to include environmental data that may help in the explanation of the observed vegetation structure  (Cannicci et al., 2000; Dahdouh-Guebas et al. subm.a, subm.b).

 

 

Types of vegetation structure dynamics in mangroves

 

Basically, the vegetation structure of mangroves can be typified as zoned on one hand (e.g. in the Kenyan sites), with a vegetation ‘zone’ defined as a long band-like patch of vegetation, or as non-zoned on the other hand, which then displays a mosaic pattern of ‘vegetation patches’, the latter defined as a polygon with no determined shape or area (e.g. Galle, Sri Lanka).  In some cases however, zonation may be very irregular or restricted to a particular part of the tidal gradient, and be termed as a ‘partial’ or ‘semi-zonation’ (e.g. Pambala, Sri Lanka).  Both ‘zones’ and ‘patches’ would have a certain, often monospecific floristic composition.  However, there are also a number of recurrent mangrove assemblages , such as the ones listed by Macnae (1968).  This author points out that Walter & Steiner (1937) named the zones that they observed in East-Africa after the dominant tree in the assemblage, a way of identifying zones or patches that is still much in use today (cf. e.g. Gallin et al., 1989).

 

Whereas the zonation -issue and particularly the causes of its formation have been much debated in the history of mangrove research, little has been said about vegetation structure dynamics , let alone terming some of the types.  Dahdouh-Guebas et al. (2000a) introduced the term ‘moving mosaic ’ (Figs 1 and 3) for the type of vegetation structure dynamic that displays relatively large vegetation patches to apparently ‘move’ from one area in a mangrove forest to another area (disappearance and appearance), or put alternatively : for the type of vegetation structure dynamic that displays a certain area of a forest that changes in species composition  over time, and may even interact with terrestrial vegetations such as sedges and coconut plantations.  A vegetation structure dynamic displaying vegetation patches to extend or to grow, rather than to ‘move around’, can similarly be termed a ‘growing mosaic’.  Dahdouh-Guebas et al. (2000a) suggest that a moving mosaic  vegetation structure dynamic may be typical for mangroves that are characterised by an irregular topography instead of the frequently encountered intertidal slope.  In areas where mangroves are clearly zoned, changes in vegetation structure often follow a rather pronounced intertidal slope (Dahdouh-Guebas et al., subm.a).  The vegetation structure dynamics that occur under these circumstances can be typified as ‘shifting zones’ (Fig. 3), if the zones are displaced entirely, or as ‘growing zones’ (Figs 2 and 3) if the zones are becoming larger (positive growth, e.g. seaward grey patches in Gazi, Fig. 2) or smaller (negative growth, e.g. landward grey patches in Gazi, Fig. 2).  Some clear examples of the latter types of transgressive (sometimes introgressive) vegetation structure dynamics can be found as responses of mangroves to selective cutting by people (Dahdouh-Guebas et al., 2000b, subm.a; Kairo et al., in prep.), to sea-level change or to altered tidal hydrodynamics (Woodroffe, 1990, 1995, 1999; Wilton & Saintilan, 1999), and to natural events (Stevens & Montague, 1999; Wilton & Saintilan, 1999; Nguyen et al., 2000).  In the latter two cases, however, the ‘shifting zone’ concept applies to the entire mangrove ecosystem rather than to vegetation assemblages specifically.

 

Vegetation structure dynamics  of mangroves is also associated to succession , particularly in a situation in which a naked or denuded habitat is colonised and further develops.  We recognise three categories : floristic accretion , floristic invasion and floristic dominance/extinction (Fig. 4).  ‘Floristic accretion’ occurs when a first pioneering species is in part responsible for the development of new adjacent zones, mostly located more landward.  This is the case for pioneering mangrove species such as Avicennia or Sonneratia.  ‘Floristic invasion’ occurs when an established zone is invaded by another species that develops within the original zone and forces the original species to retreat (Fig. 2).  This may be the process underlying the double zonation  often observed in Avicennia marina (e.g. Dahdouh-Guebas et al., subm.d).  Finally, in a particular vegetation structure comprising different assemblages with a dominant species, one may develop to become the dominant assemblage at the expense of other species or assemblages (Fig. 1).  We term this case ‘floristic dominance ’ with respect to the dominating species and ‘floristic extinction’ with respect to the retreating and disappearing ones.  In some case floristic invasion and floristic dominance may be difficult to distinguish, or an interaction between both may exist (cf. Fig. 1).  The ease with which these processes can be distinguished in part also depend on the regularity with which imagery can be obtained.

 

Whereas the vegetation structure dynamics  at lower latitudes take place against the background of the multispecific nature of the mangrove stands (incl. the ‘behaviour’ of forest patches with different compositions with respect to one another), at the highest latitudes where mangroves occur it is somewhat different.  In the Parc National du Banc d’Arguin (PNBA), at the northern biogeographical limit of mangroves along the West-African coast, Avicennia germinans is the sole mangrove tree species that constitutes the mangrove ecosystem. 

 

‘Vegetation structure dynamics’ as defined above (i.e. changes in stand extent, structure and composition) must be interpreted in its context.  Basically, the ‘extent’ has still the very same meaning in the PNBA, but the scale we are considering at these higher latitudes is different and in many cases we are considering fragmented small populations on a large area rather than continuous fringes.  Contrary to mangroves at lower latitudes, the ‘structure’ does not include zonation  issues, mosaics or other vegetation patches on a substantial area, because we are dealing with a monospecific mangrove.  For the same reason there is little point in describing a ‘composition’, unless all the non-mangrove beach and sebkha vegetation is included.  Therefore ‘vegetation structure’ is limited to the extent and fragmentation of the few mangrove populations left and to their physiognomy.  Whereas the latter has not been an issue in Kenya or Sri Lanka (probably because there are other vegetation features that are more conspicuous), in Mauritania the different mangrove physiognomies were the most remarkable features of the vegetation structure and comprised four different types : high tree formations, wide tree formations, ‘shrub’ formations and ‘sebkha’ formations, which were obviously no phases in a vegetation development.  The sole possible case would be for the sebkha formation to evolve into a shrub formation.  Whether this is actually the case requires a long-term monitoring , preferably using aerial photography if useful, and is subject to future research.

 

 

Mangrove regeneration and its constraints as an integrated application

 

Investigations on the status of mangroves in Kenya revealed that three types of forest states can be recognised : mangrove in a virtually pristine condition (Kiunga and Lamu, North Kenyan coast; Kairo et al. 1999), mangrove that is anthropogenically adversely influenced (MidaCreek and other creeks between Mombasa and Malindi, central Kenyan coast) and mangrove that is anthropogenically degraded (GaziBay and other creeks between Mombasa and Vanga, South Kenyan coast) (Kairo, in prep.).  In South-West Sri Lanka the occurrence of mangrove forests in a highly fragmented way, is mainly due to man as well (De Silva & Balasubramaniam, 1984-85).  Studies based on sequential aerial photography in both countries have shown that the dynamics  in vegetation structure in sites disturbed by man probably requires human interference to rehabilitate the mangrove (Dahdouh-Guebas et al., 2000a, subm.a).  A prediction following from combination with investigations on the distribution  of young and juvenile trees confirm this (Dahdouh-Guebas et al., subm.b).  The above study therefore leads to a suggestion of both forest areas and tree species that should be considered in artificial regeneration .

 

However, both areas and species are exposed to a number of threats.  Certain mangrove areas are subject to high propagule predation rates (Smith et al., 1989; McKee, 1995a; McGuinness, 1997b; Dahdouh-Guebas et al., 1997, 1998; Dahdouh-Guebas, subm.).  This biotic factor affects the choice of the site in mangrove restoration .  Understanding such constraints to mangrove regeneration  obviously contributes to an improvement and a development at the level of artificial plantations and silviculture (Gong & Ong, 1995).  Dahdouh-Guebas et al. (1999b), Ballerini et al. (2000), Cannicci et al. (2000) and Dahdouh-Guebas et al. (subm.c) provide a first step in the understanding of crabs’ feeding behaviours by analysing the diets of crabs and their zonation in the forest with respect to mangrove trees.

 

Experimental designs to analyse the phenomenon of propagule predation were set up by e.g. Smith et al. (1989), Osborne & Smith (1990), McKee (1995a), McGuinness (1997b), Dahdouh-Guebas et al. (1997, 1998), Steele et al. (1999), Dahdouh-Guebas (subm.) and Allen et al. (in prep.).  The results found in the present study are summarized in table 1.

 

 

Table 1.  A synthesis of the findings on propagule predation in Kenya and Sri Lanka (Dahdouh-Guebas et al., 1997, 1998; Dahdouh-Guebas, subm.).

Kenya

Sri Lanka

differential predation among forest zones :

more predation in landward and Rhizophora dominated zones

differential predation among forest patches :

more predation in Excoecaria dominated patches

no differential predation among mangrove propagules :

all species are predated

differential predation among mangrove propagules :

Avicennia predated more than Buguiera, which in turn is predated more than Rhizophora

differential predation among mangrove crabs :

more predation by Neosarmatium spp. and Sesarma spp

differential predation among mangrove crabs :

more predation by Neosarmatium spp. and Chiromanthes spp.

 

 

Also propagule predation by other animals seems to affect tree species to different degrees, for instance propagules from Rhizophora apiculata Bl. seem to be much less appreciated by the snail Terebralia palustris L. than those of Bruguiera gymnorrhiza (L.) Lam (Dahdouh-Guebas, subm.).  Predation or parasitism by insects was observed in B. gymnorrhiza, but not in other species (loc. cit.).

In the PNBA in Mauritania, the two main crab species observed were Uca tangeri Eydoux and Callinectes marginatus A. Milne-Edwards, which are an algal feeder and an animal predator respectively.  Propagule predation was not observed at all in the PNBA (Dahdouh-Guebas & Koedam, in press).

 

It has also been shown how propagule predation and vegetation structure dynamics  may be inter-linked through hydrology.  The model that Dahdouh-Guebas (subm.) introduced for this  link, is inspired on the phenomenon of propagule predation but includes elements from vegetation structure dynamics as well.  It is briefly repeated here.

 

The model starts from an adult tree or forest with mature propagules.  Before the propagules fall from the tree, predation or parasitism by insects may occur.  When a propagule falls there are two possible situations with respect to the water level : low water and high water. The theory states that when the water level is low (predominantly during the dry season), propagules that fall on the mangrove soil plant themselves (planting strategy of Van Speybroeck, 1992) or have more possibilities to strand (stranding strategy of Van Speybroeck, 1992), exposing them more to propagule predators, which in turn are very mobile and predate considerably.  The predation of planted propagules (vertical) is initially lower than from stranded (horizontal) propagules (Dahdouh-Guebas et al., 1997).  Some of the propagules are not predated, initially survive and establish.  When the water level is high (predominantly during the wet season), the forest is often permanently flooded for a period, and the fallen propagules drift away through the water.  They are much less likely to be affected by propagule predators, which at that time are stuck on the mangrove roots.  When the water level lowers, predation might still take place, but is less.  Dahdouh-Guebas et al. (1997) indeed found that mature propagules are predated less than freshly gathered ones.  Therefore, more propagules establish after a period of dispersal, during which such a mature stage can be reached.  The propagules that establish are exposed to either favorable or unfavorable environmental conditions.  These are influenced by environmental factors such as tidal inundation, microtopography, soil texture, aridity and salinity among others, some of which may be inter-linked.  Propagules developing under unfavourable conditions will die, whereas those developing under favourable conditions will survive, further develop and grow into an adult tree.  As a matter of fact, the post-establishment situation is less simple than introduced here, because between the stage of propagule and that of an adult tree there are many other events.  One point in the model is that the zonation, which is partially present in Pambala, must be the result of differences in salinity along the tidal gradient during the dry season, but that the dispersion of propagules to lead to any zonation in the first place, is controlled by the wet season.  Once the water level lowers again and propagules can establish, propagule predators further control this establishment.

  Propagule predation may thus be one link in the chain of events leading to a particular vegetation structure.

In the PNBA, the lack of success of Avicennia germinans North of the very last tree (which still produces numerous propagules) could be of a climatic nature (frost frequency) as reported for this species along the North-American West coast (Stevens, 1999).

Based on the study of vegetation structure dynamics, propagule predation, etc… the question as to which forest area needs rehabilitation can actually be answered by providing a map-based regeneration scheme.  Within the issue of the mangrove tree species that can be used for regeneration the results of studies on genetic differentiation can be integrated (e.g. Abeysinghe, 1999), answering questions such as “To which degree do different or fragmented populations differentiate on a genetic level ?” and “How desirable is it then to collect propagules from a well rejuvenating, but distant population ?”.

 

In mangrove regeneration studies, a most recent and new focus lies in the monitoring  of re-afforested plots as a measure of the success of rehabilitation and of the degree of restoration  of the original ecological functions or an alternative stable condition (Bosire, 1999; McKee & Faulkner, 2000; Bosire et al., subm.a, subm.b).  As a matter of fact rehabilitation plots aim at a restoration of the natural habitat, which can be assessed by monitoring the secondary succession  into the often monospecific artificial mangrove stands, as well as the macrofaunal recruitment in it.

 

 

Reccommendations for future research on mangrove vegetation structure dynamics and regeneration (incl. regenerative constraints)

 

A first door to future research was opened with the revisit of the Point-Centred Quarter Method or PCQM (Dahdouh-Guebas & Koedam, subm.).  In order to understand mangrove vegetation structure dynamics , monitoring  and fieldwork is required, the latter of which necessitates the application of certain methods to acquire the data needed.  The PCQM is a widely used method to derive forest parameters such as density and basal area .  However, for forest characteristics measured at a particular time to be interpreted within the framework of mangrove vegetation structure dynamics, it is essential that they represent as closely as possible the actual field conditions, or give a good estimation of the errors involved.  Dahdouh-Guebas & Koedam (subm.) highlight a number of problems associated to the PCQ-Method, make a first attempt at tackling these issues and open the door to future empirical research that can be checked with actual field observations.  The investigation of more sites will lead to the establishment of ‘PCQM accuracy correction factors’ (sensu Dahdouh-Guebas & Koedam, subm.).  An in-depth comparison between different PCQM ‘rules’ (e.g. selection of closest stem versus selection of central stem) and their effects on the accuracy of derived forest structure parameters is also still unchallenged.

 

The abundance of mangrove juveniles on the tree and on the mangrove floor have never been investigated in an integrative manner.  Phenology studies have always concentrated on characteristics of leaves, flowers and fruits when these were still attached to the parental tree, and terminated when these structures detached.  This approach leaves the question as to which propagules establish where unanswered.  In the study of vegetation structure, its establishment and its dynamics, the answer to this question may be very valuable.

 

Similarly, the assessment of the natural propagule predation as opposed to the experimental propagule predation may provide more insight into the relationship between propagule predation and vegetation structure.  So far, propagule predation studies concentrated on experimentally planted propagules, leading to figures of 100% predation.  However, in natural situations it is very unlikely that propagule predators will jeopardise the survival of the plants that form their habitat at a large scale.  Mast seeding with predator saturation may be an escape mechanism.

 

The regular marking of cohorts of mature propagules, the monitoring of their dispersal and of their fate on the mangrove floor, integrates and fills the latter two gaps in scientific research on mangrove vegetation structure and propagule predation.

 

With respect to remote sensing, the study of vegetation structure dynamics using the new very high resolution space-borne imagery (e.g. Ikonos satellite) must be purchased, but the commercial nature of these data and the extremely high prices associated to this imagery is at present a block to the use of these data for many academic research groups in both industrialised and developing countries.

 

 

References

 

See Bibliography

 

 

Published as :

Dahdouh-Guebas, F. & N. Koedam, 2002.  A synthesis of existent and potential mangrove vegetation structure dynamics from Kenyan, Sri Lankan and Mauritanian case-studies. Meded. Zitt. K. Acad. overzeese Wet./Bull. Séanc. Acad. r. Sci. Outre-Mer 48(4): 487-511.

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